Context
Look at the time period, source and assumptions before drawing a conclusion.
Return is the part people like to discuss. Risk is the part that decides whether the plan survives contact with real life.
Before treating the topic as a signal, ask what decision it is supposed to inform and what evidence would change your mind.
Look at the time period, source and assumptions before drawing a conclusion.
No single metric explains a market on its own.
Write down the risk you might be underestimating before acting.
Use the checklist as a review aid, not as a trading instruction.
Is it primary, attributed and current?
Does the evidence match your decision window?
What happens if the main assumption is wrong?